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Time Management and Guessing Strategy Help Area
The Answer Choices and Answer Transferring Theories
LSAT Guessing Strategy and Probability Tables
The Importance of Using a Timer

Guessing Strategy and Probability Tables

Do not guess randomly!

Because the LSAT does not assess a scoring penalty for incorrect answer choices, you should always guess on every question that you cannot complete during the allotted time. However, because some answer choices are historically more likely to occur than others, you should not guess randomly. The following tables summarize which answer choices have occurred most frequently over the years.

LSAT Answer Choice Probabilities
A#
A%
B#
B%
C#
C%
D#
D%
E#
E%
Total #
LR
581
18.6%
646
20.7%
634
20.3%
673
21.5%
591
18.9%
3125
RC
331
19.8%
331
19.8%
332
19.9%
364
21.8%
310
18.6%
1668
LG
282
19.4%
297
20.4%
286
19.7%
293
20.2%
295
20.3%
1453
Total
1194
19.1%
1274
20.4%
1252
20.0%
1330
21.3%
1196
19.1%
6246
All Answer Choices June 1991 - June 2009*

The table above documents the frequency with which each answer choice appeared as a percentage of all LSAT answer choices between June 1991 and June 2009 inclusive. If history holds, you would be best served on the test as a whole by always guessing answer choice (D). Do not choose random answer choices; do not put in a pattern such as A-B-C-D-E etcetera. Although guessing answer choice (D) does not guarantee you will get the questions correct, statistically speaking guessing answer choice (D) gives you a better chance of answering correctly than guessing randomly.

Last Five Answer Choices Per Section June 1991 - June 2009*
A#
A%
B#
B%
C#
C%
D#
D%
E#
E%
T#
LR
92
14.8%
118
19.0%
122
19.7%
142
22.9%
146
23.5%
620
RC
57
18.4%
65
21.0%
58
18.7%
69
22.3%
61
19.7%
310
LG
72
23.2%
60
19.4%
56
18.1%
63
20.3%
59
19.0%
310
Total
221
17.8%
243
19.6%
236
19.0%
274
22.1%
266
21.5%
1240
*These statistics do not include the unreleased February 1998, February 2001, February 2002, February 2003, February 2004, February 2005, February 2006, February 2007, February 2008, and February 2009 LSAT administrations.

As the second table indicates, if you cannot finish the final questions in a section, in the Logical Reasoning section you should always guess answer choice (E). In the Reading Comprehension section you should always guess answer choice (D), and in the Logic Games section you should guess (A).

Please keep in mind that the strategies discussed above hold only for pure guessing. If you are attempting to choose between two answer choices, do not choose solely on the basis of statistics alone!

On a related note, if you are a strong test taker who correctly answers most questions but occasionally does not finish a section, quickly review the answer choices you have previously selected and use the answer that appears least as your guessing answer choice. For example, if you have completed twenty questions in a section, and your answer sheet contains a majority of (A)’s, (B)’s, (C)’s, and (E)’s, guess answer choice (D) for all of the remaining questions to get the percentage of each response as close to 20% as possible.

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